It is a truism in Indian politics that ruling events tend to do properly in bypolls as they management the executive equipment. However, it might be a mistake to dismiss victories in two particular meeting segments that the BJP has received within the final one yr in Karnataka.
While it’s true that since November 2019 there have been 17 bypolls within the state and BJP has received 14. However, it’s the saffron get together’s victory within the KR Pete seat final yr and the Sira seat now that basically stands out. The causes for which can be pretty easy.
The BJP has for lengthy been seen as a ‘Lingayat’ get together, primarily as a result of of the management of Yediyurappa, who belongs to the group. With a 17 per cent Lingayat inhabitants within the state, the get together additionally has benefited from that notion.
The second is that the BJP has been a North Karnataka get together with practically 81 of the 104 MLAs that received within the 2018 meeting polls coming from that half of the state.
It has traditionally been weak in what’s seen because the ‘Old Mysuru region’ – comprising the districts which had been up to now dominated by the Mysuru Wodeyar dynasty – and which by the way can also be dominated by the Vokkaliga group.
Vokkaligas, at round 13 per cent of the state inhabitants, are usually not solely the second largest group however they’ve largely been immune to the charms of the BJP in spite of the get together’s finest efforts. The JDS has at all times championed the group’s trigger and each time the get together has fallen out of favour, Vokkaligas have tended to again the Congress.
For the BJP, which fell 10 seats quick of a easy majority in 2008 and in 2018, the necessity to develop its social base particularly within the Old Mysuru area and amongst the Vokkaligas is vital if it desires to dominate the state politics.
Which is the place, the wins in KR Pete of Mandya district final yr and Sira in Tumakuru now could be so essential. Both are Vokkaliga dominated and are within the outdated Mysuru area. Both are seen as bastions of Janata Dal (Secular) and the ability alternated between the regional get together and the Congress.
In each the battles, the BJP entrusted the duty of profitable these seats to the younger get together vp Vijayendra. When final yr, KR Pete, the place JD(S) turncoat Narayana Gowda who helped BJP topple the Congress-JDS coalition stood for bypolls, the JD(S) vowed revenge. Vijavendra ensured victory of Narayan Gowda towards odds however it was dismissed as a fluke.
Now, Vijayendra has repeated the feat in Sira the place the BJP had by no means even come second and principally misplaced deposit in all earlier polls. By guaranteeing victory of its candidate Rajesh Gowda, Vijayendra has proved that he’s any individual to watch in Karnataka politics.
It has helped that he’s the son of chief minister Yediyurappa. At 45, he’s very younger by political requirements, articulate and has bought his father’s knack of taking folks alongside.
While his elder brother BY Raghavendra, the MP from Shivamogga, is seen as extra reserved, Vijayendra is seen as extra accessible by the get together employees and public.
Given the political acumen he has displayed until now, most analysts, and even political opponents, imagine that it’s Vijayendra who would be the heir of Yediyurappa’s political legacy. Vijayendra has, in a latest chat with HT, dismissed such hypothesis, saying that the household is united and that there isn’t any inside rivalry.
But it’s also more and more clear that Vijayendra is attempting to carve out a distinct segment for himself and step out of his father’s shadow. Vijayendra will not be with out his share of controversies, with the opposition accusing him of being the tremendous CM and likewise being concerned in corruption, which he dismisses because the “price I pay for being the bridge between the CM and people as well as party workers”.
There is a rising clamour for Vijayendra to contest the Basva Kalyan bypoll which is probably going to happen within the subsequent few months. The incumbent Congress MLA Narayana Rao handed away due to Covid and the BJP may have to discover a candidate for the seat.
In the 2018 meeting ballot too, Vijayendra was an aspirant for the Varuna constituency which was finally received by one other former CM’s son Yathindra Siddaramiah. Even as CM Yediyurappa dismissed hypothesis that Vijayendra can be fielded from Basva Kalyan, the bold son himself is extra cautious and says “will take up any responsibility given by the party”.
For Vijayendra, the problem can be to proceed rising an identification exterior of his father Yediyurappa and on the similar time inherit his political mantle as a frontrunner of Lingayats and past. How profitable he’s on this journey would decide his political future.